VOLUME VI |
![]() |
AUTUMN 1998 |
FINANCIAL EQUILIBRIUM IN SPANISH RETIREMENT PENSIONS, 1995-2030
|
ROBERTMENEU Universitat de Valencia |
In this paper we develop several financial equilibrium models in a public
pensions system. The equality between contributions and pensions in a
pure pay-as-you-go scheme is modified with the incorporation of a capital
fund; we then obtain a long-term pay-as-you-go scheme. Furthermore,
we discuss the desirability of introducing several constraints in the
models to take into account social or political limitations.
The resultant models are mathematical optimization problems. The solution
is the optimal path for the main variables of the system (contribution
rate and pension substitution rate) in order to reach a long-term financial
equilibrium in the puhlic pensions system with the existing constraints.
We solve a model for the Spanish case in the horizon 1995-2030, using
macroeconomic scenarios and retirement pensions projections made by
the Spanish Ministry of Employment and Social Security.
|
Keywords: Social Security, pensions, finance, capital funds, dynamic optimization. |
TO DOWNLOAD THIS PAPER |